Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM)ΒΆ

Suppose that \(S_{t}\) evolves according to

\[\frac{dS_{t}}{S_{t}}=\mu dt+\sigma dW_{t}.\]

In logs:

\[d\log S_{t}=\left(\mu-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}\right)dt+\sigma dW_{t}.\]

After integration on the interval \(\left[t,t+h\right]\):

\[r_{t,h}=\log\frac{S_{t+h}}{S_{t}} =\left(\mu-\frac{1}{2}\sigma^{2}\right)h +\sigma\sqrt{h}\varepsilon_{t+h},\]

where \(\varepsilon_{t}\sim N\left(0,1\right)\).